DAY 1 > WIMBLEDON | CENTRE COURT

Victor Hanescu(47) vs [3]Roger Federer(3)

H2H: Federer leads 5-0

TRENDS:
Hanescu has lost 4 of last 5 on Grass, lost 15 of last 16 when Opponent is a Top 10 Player, lost 18 in a row when priced as Heavy Underdog ($6.00+)
Federer has won 19 of last 20 when Opponent is a Big Server, won 16 in a row when priced as Heavy Favourite (<$1.20) COMMENTS: They’ve played 14 sets, in which Hanescu has only ever taken one set. Mind you, the last match played was 2010. In preparation, Hanescu played Garcia-Lopez(79) last week and lost in SS (6-4 6-3). Federer won at HALLE, defeating the likes of Youzhny (6-7 6-3 6-4), Haas (3-6 6-3 6-4), Zverev (6-0 6-0), and Stebe (6-3 6-3).

Since Jan 01 2000, Federer is 67-6 at WIMBLEDON, and Hanescu is 11-8… Below is Federer’s two first round matches that he won in SS:

RND1: Ramos(43) 6-1 6-1 6-1 (21 Games)
RND2: Fognini(68) 6-1 6-3 6-2 (24 Games)

Total games is set at 27.5 games vs Hanescu, and if Kohlschreiber can bagel Hanescu at French Open (6-0 7-6 6-1) recently, Federer will def have a chance, and to also conserve energy for the later rounds.

TIP: Federer UNDER 18.5 Games $1.88 (Sportsbet)
TIP: Between 25 and 30 Games $1.80 (bet365)
TIP: Federer 3-0 (everywhere)
TIP: UNDER 27.5 Games $2.10 (Sportsbet)
TIP: Federer -9.5 handicap $2.10 (Sportsbet)

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Kristina Mladenovic(39) vs [3]Maria Sharapova(3)

H2H: Haven’t met

TRENDS:
Kristina Mladenovic has lost 6 of last 7 when priced as Heavy Underdog ($6.00+).
Maria Sharapova has won 19 in a row when Opponent is a Big Server, won 38 in a row when priced as Heavy Favourite (<$1.20). COMMENTS: Sharapova hasn't played since FO, but like other years, she hasn't played any grass matches leading in to Wimbledon since 2010. Below are her first round match results at Wimbledon: 2010: Pivovarova(128) 6-1 6-0 (13 Games) 2011: Chakvetadze(52) 6-2 6-1 (15 Games) 2012: Rodionova(133) 6-2 6-3 (17 Games) TIP: Sharapova UNDER 12.5 Games $1.33 (Sportsbet)
TIP: Sharapova 2-0 (everywhere)
TIP: Sharapova -6.5 handicap $1.83 (bet365)

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Benjamin Becker(95) vs [2]Andy Murray(2)

H2H: Murray leads 1-0 (Queens 2013: 6-4 7-6)

TRENDS:
Becker has lost 4 of last 5 in 5 set matches, has lost 4 in a row when Opponent is a Top 10 Player, has lost 18 in a row when priced as Heavy Underdog ($6.00+)
Andy Murray has won 14 of last 15 in 5 set matches, won 20 of last 21 when priced as Heavy Favourite (<$1.20) COMMENTS: Becker was up 4-2 in the 2nd set of that match, before Murray came back to take the set in a TB.

TIP: Murray 3-0 (everywhere)

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